Going Through The Motions
Posted by Pete Bouchard
Good supply of sun today....unfortunately, the upper atmosphere was still cold, and all that energy was either reflected back to space (because of the snowpack) or it went to maintaining clouds and a few flurries.
Sigh.
Can't win, right? I'll let this graphic answer that:
There are a few footnotes to this graphic though. This forecast is very tough (just like all of them this season) because we aren't really tracking a storm. It's purely based on the energy in the upper atmosphere. Sure, there is a storm offshore, but it's movement isn't really of any consequence to us. The upper level energy is - and it can be very fickle and finicky. Still, I think there's enough there to rob moisture from the offshore storm and heave it back to Southern New England. Obviously, mine may not be the last word on this snow, so stay tuned for updated tonight...and right up until the event starts tomorrow afternoon.
Speaking of which, most of the accumulating snow will be overnight Thursday into the wee hours of Friday morning. Pacing is light and steady. Cold temps keep us all snow too.
Next up is the Monday storm. Potential nor'easter in the making here. The weather maps don't have a direct hit, but like past storms of this nature, I'm using the Southern New England Winter Storm Postulate (so named by me...as of this typing) which states that major storms that are forecasted to miss us a week or more away, typically end up hitting us, while storms that show us being hit a week or more away typically miss us.
Let's see if my theory holds.
(Wanna bet a pizza?)
Pete
Come On Ride The Train
Posted by Pete Bouchard
Heavy rain is on the move! All afternoon long it was stalled over Western Massachusetts and Connecticut. Heavy pulses of rain traveled over the same towns and cities - a process meteorologists call "training" - resulting in flash flooding in some counties to our west.
Saved by The Sea Breeze
Posted by Pete Bouchard
Although my forecast was busted today, there was one good thing that came out of it.
Stability.
That gray overcast that hung over the eastern half of the Commonwealth provided a stablizing influence to our atmosphere. The cool air blowing in from the ocean kept the temperatures in the upper 50s and low 60s all the way back to Metrowest. While that makes for lousy short-and-t-shirt weather, it is poison to thunderstorms.
Storms, Heat, Sea Breezes
Posted by Pete Bouchard
What a day! Breakneck temperature swings, thunder, tornadoes in Western Mass....and we're still in late May!
Summ-ah!
Posted by Pete Bouchard
With the snap of the fingers we were thrown into summer this afternoon. Heat, humidity, A/C and shorts - with a hazy sun to boot. But with the sea breeze knocking back the temperatures (and bringing in a round of downpours this evening), there are changes afoot.